Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-02-01 0.138866 0.162576 0.188666 0.219442 0.254689 0.293730 0.340180
2026-02-08 0.096987 0.128139 0.166199 0.215822 0.278481 0.354609 0.453701
2026-02-15 0.072006 0.104406 0.147268 0.207492 0.289176 0.395255 0.542419
2026-02-22 0.061857 0.096658 0.145715 0.218815 0.323621 0.466847 0.675358
2026-03-01 0.049790 0.083436 0.133735 0.212832 0.332077 0.502645 0.761810
2026-03-08 0.040274 0.072041 0.122190 0.205038 0.335755 0.530557 0.838030
2026-03-15 0.033508 0.063688 0.113787 0.200373 0.342736 0.562840 0.922235
2026-03-22 0.029588 0.059393 0.111144 0.204229 0.362918 0.616252 1.042226
2026-03-29 0.027100 0.057183 0.111592 0.213044 0.391685 0.685101 1.191426
2026-04-05 0.024314 0.053902 0.109610 0.217200 0.412690 0.742706 1.326515
2026-04-12 0.021489 0.050039 0.105966 0.217770 0.427220 0.790315 1.448194
2026-04-19 0.018991 0.046397 0.102195 0.217514 0.439971 0.835492 1.568562
2026-04-26 0.016517 0.042428 0.097340 0.214792 0.448269 0.874216 1.682047
2026-05-03 0.014308 0.038659 0.092376 0.211258 0.454680 0.910137 1.793550
2026-05-10 0.012061 0.034351 0.085606 0.203088 0.451030 0.927001 1.871388
2026-05-17 0.011515 0.034141 0.087833 0.214195 0.486987 1.020768 2.097837
2026-05-24 0.009905 0.030871 0.082594 0.208327 0.487359 1.046162 2.196889
2026-05-31 0.008424 0.027627 0.076907 0.200682 0.483076 1.061839 2.277980
2026-06-07 0.007313 0.025182 0.072790 0.196107 0.484852 1.089530 2.384186
2026-06-14 0.006739 0.024195 0.072215 0.199889 0.505445 1.157012 2.574110
2026-06-21 0.006429 0.023959 0.073567 0.208534 0.537805 1.251134 2.823902
2026-06-28 0.005954 0.023101 0.073123 0.212611 0.559929 1.325078 3.036646
2026-07-05 0.005396 0.021846 0.071395 0.213170 0.573769 1.382119 3.217533